Friday, May 23, 2014

Labour Wins Redbridge
– The Ins and Outs

Congratulations to Redbridge Labour on their very first time in charge of Redbridge Council with a working majority. Although this is a big shift for Redbridge there was remarkably little change when we look at the detail and the results were pretty much as predicted by the pundits in the Fairlop Oak with little or no surprises.

14 Wards (two-thirds) remained the same colours as in 2010 and 41 existing councillors were re-elected. None of the councillors who changed party or went independent were re-elected which is pretty much par for the course. The Liberal Democrats have been under pressure with their vote collapsing elsewhere, but if you look closely their vote has held up quite well in those places where they have a presence and are well known. So it is no surprise that the 3 existing LibDems were re-elected in the two South Woodford wards. While they lost 3 seats to the Conservatives here their man in Valentines (the Ward that does not have Valentines Park, Valentines Mansion or the Valentine pub in it) lost out to Labour. So they ended up on 3 - down from 7.

In the nine wards of Ilford South it is pretty much Labour territory and they held off a strong challenge from the Independents in Loxford, gained one from the LibDems as mentioned above and another in Cranbrook from the Conservatives leaving just the one solitary Tory in that part of the borough. That’s 26 out of 27 seats.

In 2006 there were no Labour councillors in the Ilford North constituency but they made inroads in 2010 taking a seat each in Aldborough and Clayhall. This is where Labour needed to make gains. Monkhams, Bridge, Fairlop and Fullwell are pretty much solid Tory and despite the presence of UKIP in Bridge and Fairlop these wards all remained blue, well Monkhams would be a shock wouldn’t it. The Barkingside (the ward that doesn’t have Barkingside High Street or Barkingside Tube Station in it) and Clayhall Tories held on but the two in Aldborough fell. This brings the Labour total up to 30 and they need 2 or 3 more so we come to the key ward, Hainault. This ward was a Labour stronghold but they lost 2 seats to the Conservatives in 2002 and the third to BNP in 2006. For the past 4 years it has been all Blue. This was the ward we all had trouble with predicting. The presence of UKIP (with a sitting former Tory Councillor) going after the former BNP vote, making it a 3-way struggle plus the former BNP councillor standing for the BDP. The latter didn’t have much impact but it was very close between the Tories and UKIP with Labour coming through the middle to take all three seats. We did predict that if Labour were to win the council they would have to take back Hainault and they did.

It was also a possibility that Labour could take a seat or two down in Wanstead (the ward that doesn’t have Wanstead High Street in it) as a bonus and they did - two in Wanstead with Snaresbrook Tories holding on reasonably comfortably.

So there we have it. 35 seats for Labour, 25 for the Conservatives and one new swimming pool for Redbridge.

Goodbyes:

Vanessa Cole, Ruth Clark, Andy Walker, Nicola Sinclair, Ashok Kumar, Harold Moth, Ali Hai, Ted Griffin, David Poole, Filly Maravala, Virendra Tewari, Shoaib Patel

As with the retiring councillors listed in an earlier post we wish you bon voyage on whatever journey you choose to take in the future, whether it’s retirement or a less prominent background role.

Hellos:

John Howard (Aldborough), Karen Packer (Barkingside), Anne Sachs (Chadwell), Neil Zammett (Chadwell), Emma Best (Church End), Tom McClaren (Chruch End), Varinder Singh Bola (Cranbrook), Tom Sharpe (Fairlop), David Bromiley (Fullwell), Jeevah Haran (Fullwell), Kam Rai (Goodmayes), Roy Emmett (Hainault), Mark Santos (Hainault), Joe Hehir (Hainault), Mohammed Ahmed (Loxford), Shakil Ahmad (Loxford), Sarah Blaber (Roding), Colin Cronin (Snaresbrook), Khayer Chowdhury (Valentines), Farah Hussein (Valentines), Sheila Bain (Wanstead), Paul Merry (Wanstead)

We’ve got our eye on you lot, especially that Emmett and Santos. If the council pies go missing we will know where to look.

Parity Check: So that's 10 retiring councillors plus 12 Goodbyes = 22 Hellos plus 41 existing councillors re-elected making 63.

28 comments:

  1. Welcome to Redbridge - a Moth-free zone.

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  2. I have never lived in a Labour run council, except for three years in Manchester, but have worked in them for many years! I have a wish list!

    Build council houses! Zero energy, accessible, superb design!
    Stop private landlords renting out ex council homes, costing us a fortune in Housing Benefit and causing serious management issues.

    Work closely with other councils - seriously look at merging and using best practice

    Sort out Health, Adult Social Services, Mental Health and Learning Difficulty services.. There are superb examples of how to do this properly - community health workers. Create regional specialist joint social and health services, as is happening with stroke and heart services.

    Rebuild the Lido in Valentines Park.

    Do this in first month!

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  3. The last time Labour made significant inroads into Redbridge, Labour councillors wasted their time arguing the toss about the Tory blue livery of council vehicles. A compromise eventually settled on green. With a Labour majority, will Redbridge vehicles now get repainted red? And what will it cost?

    By the way, Ed, your council picture is out of date. Redbridge changed it to a cannabis leaf yonks ago. It's on all the Council literature.

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  4. I have just seen this theme and read the very comprehensive overview of the election results for Redbridge by those nice people at B21 . I have no particular political persuasion but I was disappointed to see that some very good Councillors lost their status in this major upheaval in Redbridge. Others of course won't be missed. From the outside I do hope that this new administration gets to grips with the issues raised by the residents and don't go about wasting time, energy and money on things that are insignificant like the livery on vehicles. Redbridge needed a shake up and the key now is what the Councillor Leader, Mr Atwal, does in terms of his Cabinet leads.

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  5. Some very good Councillors have lost their position and for some I have some sympathy after, in some cases, their many years of service. The new administration has a lot to do to deliver its promises and whilst it wont be easy they have enough majority to move things forward. I sincerely hope that they make good use of their time, the opportunity and most importantly listen to the residents and take appropriate actions. If they get bogged down in minutia, like liveries on vehicles, it is a waste. They have a lot to live up to and I hope they are successful..

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  6. ii have this vision of redbridge residents that have been here for years packing up the old kit bag and heading off out on the M11/A12 or even the A13 because they know whats coming after all its because of a labour government that we are all in this mess in the first place and sadly if "don't know what to do"Dave (Cameron)don't hurry up and sort it then the whole country will soon succumb to the lefty (but not really)labour lying pocket lining blarites (he owns 5 properties you know)that we have had before.

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  7. The electorate has spoken and I welcome the radical change. Let's hope it does not result in the almost inevitable cock-up that such sudden transitions often do. I was very sad however, to see the departure of Harold Moth, a sincere and honest seeker of the truth. I don't know who has succeeded him (as an Independent?) but he or she will have a long way to go to equal Harold's experience and ability. Have a nice break, Harold, I'm sure you'll be back in due course - though not, I hope, with most of your recently departed colleagues.

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    Replies
    1. Yes, it's a shame about Tory rebel Harold Moth not being elected.as an independent. He was always beavering away to get things done. Let's hope he didn't lose his deposit.

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  8. In my opinion,this is a very sad time,for the residents of Redbridge.

    We have lost excellent people such as Ruth Clark,Vanessa Cole and Filly Maravala.

    Ukip,ate away a lot of Conservative votes. Andy Walker,stood in Aldborough ward as an Independent and got over 1000 votes.

    This harmed the Conservative vote too.

    So,previous Conservative voters who voted UKIP and for Andy,helped New Labour,take Redbridge.

    So before Wes Streeting and his minions think Ilford North will be won by Labour at the 2015,General Election,don't be too cocky.

    I am confident,the excellent Lee Scott MP. will be returned,as the M.P. for Ilford North,when people who voted UKIP will return,to the Conservative Party.

    Finally,in 2018,I look forward,to a Conservative Council,again in Redbridge.

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    1. Yes, we have lost some talented and dedicated Councillors. Q: Are you sure Lee Scott intends to stand for a third term? (He once said he would only stand for two terms). And - correct me if I'm wrong here - but wasn't his majority at the last election eleven votes?

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    2. Lee had a majority of over 5000 votes,in 2010. 11.49 per cent over Labour.
      I am confident,Lee Scott MP. will be re-elected in 2015.

      People have told me they made a mistake voting for UKIP or Andy Walker. They say they will not do this,in May,2015.

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  9. Any idea when we can start putting the newbies through their paces?
    Being a Councillor is not a walk in the park and I am amazed that people volunteer!

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  10. Indeed B21. Congratulations to the Labour Party upon their latest fraudulent, bogus and gerrymandered election victory. Achieved of course, via the usual combination of importing huge voting blocks from the third world likely to vote for them, which in turn drives those British folk unlikely to vote for them out of the borough (taking their votes with them), as the living environment becomes progressively unbearable. I'm sure Mr Streeting will repeat this same `achievement` for Labour at next years parliamentries, as the local Redbridge `Tower Hamlets-in-waiting` Council is subject to permanent Labour misrule - forever. Not one single gerrymandered Redbridge Labour councillor has a legitimate electoral mandate - and they know it. As for the Tories, they will probably hang on to Monkhams ward for the forseeable future, but that's about it. Still, not to worry Redbridge. At least you`ll have a nice new swimming pool in your future overcrowded, crime-ridden concrete ghetto borough. Enjoy!
    Julian Leppert (British Democratic Party)

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    1. Redbridge is far from being a one-party state and we have the new Tory Leader coming to tell us what sort of opposition we can expect for the next 4 years.

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    2. The "for sale" signs are already popping up in Hainault now, I guess it will become another Ilford south

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  11. Meat pies and bile stew. Not the tastiest of diets, B21. I'll soon regain my weight.

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  12. Nevertheless I think even the Tories recognise that they wont see a majority in Redbridge again

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    1. No,we do not recognise,we wont see a majority,in Redbridge again.
      In 2018,after a national referendum on the EU,by 2017,UKIP will be forgotten and the Tories,will be in charge of Redbridge again.

      Further,when the residents see all of Labours broken promises and who they give grants to,they will never trust Labour again.

      Finally,the road back,begins in May 2015,when Conservative MP.Lee Scott,is reelected,in Milford North.

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  13. Wow! Such bitterness! Such acrimony! All these indignant people - some literate, some decidedly not - chucking their toys out of the pram because they lost; and this in an absolutely impartial and completely fair election. There were no tanks on the street, no water cannon and no balaclava'd militiamen firing AK47's in the air. This is what's called democracy, ladies and gentlemen. To paraphrase Forrest Gump, "Democracy is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you're gonna get". I too, regret the departure of one or two of the losers (see above) but that's the way the coo... - no I won't go there. The time to start screaming is when everything goes pear-shaped, as it did with Our Sacred Lady of Grantham or John (anything but) Major. Remember, those of you who still insist the American bank collapse was deliberately organised by Gordon Brown, it was Norman Lamont who sought to impose a 15% Bank Rate.

    In fairness, though, that is beside the point. We are talking about LOCAL elections and like it or not, most of us are more affected by the decisions emanating from the Town Hall than we are by the edicts of the Westminster satellite of Brussels.

    You don't like the new Council? Then vote 'em out next time, because a great many well-meaning folk voted 'em in this time.

    To the screamers and toy throwers my message is - live with it! (Or you could demand a recount.)

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  14. Alfred quote "some literate, some decidedly not" probably educated by a local labour council....I was by ILEA some years ago I must add. so please may I be forgiven

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  15. Did anyone notice a BBC report of a Sun survey which found that Ilford was the second most miserable, discontented place in the country? That might explain the shift ro Red Ed's mob. I wonder if they'll cheer up npw. Ed' and his followers have a year to make happy bunnies of them all before the general election.

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  16. Some of the named Councillors who lost their seats will be missed like Filly Maravala and Vanessa Cole. Others I am not so sure. Having watched some of them in the Council chamber they added little but in reality they were nothing more than the former Leaders yes people. If they didn't tow the line they wouldn't get any position of note. Harold fell out a long while ago with the the former Leader and that part of the Borough has had some strange selections over the years. Still they are consigned now to history. I agree that Harold will be missed he was like 'a little beaver' when he took something or someone to task. If this current group are to achieve anything then they will need to get their priorities right and base their plans on what the public feel is important and move things forward. We'll see.

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  17. I was just wandering where mr jas athwal is going to find the time to run the council what with his 8 properties to look after .......(redbrideg i under your councillors personal interests page)

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  18. The Portly One6:55 pm, May 28, 2014

    Meat pies and bile stew. Now the sour grapes appear....to go with the abundant supply of Hard Chedar. Menu complete?

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    Replies
    1. OMG, your making me hungry

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  19. Do not people know what really will happen is that all the educated people from Islington, Camden, Southwark and Hackney will be moving here because the house prices are significantly lower?

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  20. I have been reminded,at the local elections 2014,in theIlford North constituency, the sensible electorate,returned 15 Conservative Councillors.

    Only,seven Labour councillors and a mere 2 Lib-Dem. Councillors.

    Things,look good for Conservative Lee Scott MP. to be reelected,in May 2015.

    Wes Streeting,New Labour,will have to lick his wounds,after the General Election,next year,in my opinion.

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  21. When you look at some of the outcomes of the elections there are some interesting results for a number of reasons. In Newham Robin Wales in again. Also all 63 Councillors. Makes for boring Council nights. In Brentwood moves to no overall control. The former Conservative Leader heads the biggest party BUT Labour, Lib Dems, Independent and Brentwood First have created a pact and will run the authority. That will make very interesting Council nights but how long will last last.

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