Do you remember me mentioning
a heated debate in the Fairlop Oak that I might write up. Well, this is it. I’ve been saving it until after the Aldborough by election.
The basic premise which started us off is a perceived general dissatisfaction among the electorate with all the political parties on offer, and the party system itself, citing the numbers who don’t bother to vote, and asking why it is we don’t have, and elect more Independents. It included some er, criticism of those at the Town Hall and in Westminster.
The response to this, from our portly Labour veteran and ex-councillor, was “
don’t complain, get off your butt [translated]
and get your name on the ballot paper. I’ve no time for those who complain and are not prepared to do something about it, he (pointing at me) can complain because he’s name's been on the ballot paper”.
That’s all very well, but there are two major obstacles to this approach. First is Political branding. You may not think so but we all like brands of one kind or another. We are social animals and we like to identify with like others through brands. Be it a football team, a motive on a tee-shirt, Cucci handbags, Jimmy Choo shoes or the colours of a Political Party. It is part of how we define our own individual identify. Breaking down and trying to overcome tribal loyalties (or consumer/voter intertia) is a very difficult thing to do.
The second is a direct result of the first. In order to get established and then elected you need to put in a great deal of hard work which is not possible for one person on their own – you need a team of
unquestioning and loyal supporters. To quote Lee Scott MP in the run up to the 2010 General Election: “you don’t get elected on the internet, you get elected on the doorstep”. Any party activist will tell you the same and this is where the established party machines can, for the most part, steamroller Independents and fringe parties out of the way.
Of course there are exceptions, as we saw in Hainault where the BNP got a councillor elected in 2006 after a sustained, at least 6 year, campaign on a contentious local issue. Elsewhere the Greens can do well where they can match the effort and resources of the big parties but this is only sporadic and has taken time and graft to do.
Last week’s by election in Aldborough is an example of this.
The result was not going to affect the complexion of the Coalition administration, BUT a Conservative win would have put
Keith Prince one by election short of a majority (with the inclusion of the wayward Cllr Moth). This put the LibDems in the awkward position of not wanting to take votes from Labour in a seat where they are not strong, so their “campaign” was almost non-existant and they were thus relegated to the ranks of the fringe parties, even though they were third.
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| a select few from the winning team |
In contrast, the Labour team [above] were already up and running prior to the election being called, in preparation for next year’s London elections, and were out of the blocks like a bat out of hell. Of course they may well have known there would be a by election before anybody else, but that’s by the by. They put in a tremendous amount of work on this even though the Tories, quite rightly, got upset over their use of the
King George Hospital issue (see later), which was started by..... the previous Labour Government. I really do hope they will sort this out.
The Conservatives were a little slower off the mark but still put out a good show. And it shows up in the result, which is effectively a reflection of how much effort was put in to what was effectively a Labour/Conservative marginal.
The turnout of less than 25% is not unusual for a local by election, and last years turn out of ~65% was exceptional due to the locals and general taking place at the same time. Normal locals are about 35-40%.
So, the electorate, and specifically those who didn’t vote, had the chance to try something new or different to see how it pans out without much in the way of risk. They chose not to, and they stayed loyal to the established duopoly brands.
But does it really matter? You might think that I as a Green would say yes and I would with this caveat. Most of the party activists and councillors I am acquainted with are quite sane people and, in my perception, are genuinely trying [sic!] to do a good job for us residents. They are, after all, mostly residents too and rely on the same services as you and I. They have to put up with the same road humps as we do, use the same cycle lanes and buses, and see the same litter and dog poo on the streets and in the parks that we do etc. etc.
But if you can strip away that blinkered brand loyalty [easier with some than others] and get down to the nitty gritty and actually talk to each other [eg but not necessarily via non-party groups like B21] there’s not that much difference between [almost] any of us.
Same is true of our last two MPs. Linda Perham and Lee Scott are both local residents and former local councillors. The only problem I had/have with either of them [bar 2005-2010 when Lee was an opposition MP] is the way they prop up the Government, for it is there, in my view, that the problem lies.
It seems to me that there is a disconnect between the activists and councillors of all parties on the ground and their respective Party excecutives who seem completely out of touch with reality. As I said earlier, Brand loyalty is a very difficult thing to break down and it is still a legitimate question to ask why it is that activists and voters stay loyal under such duress?
Discuss